Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.456433 0.519416 0.586646 0.663604 0.749112 0.841054 0.947237
2025-10-26 0.345468 0.429822 0.526723 0.645664 0.787072 0.949136 1.148205
2025-11-02 0.269795 0.364921 0.481875 0.634791 0.827830 1.061677 1.364433
2025-11-09 0.215342 0.315149 0.445871 0.626944 0.868157 1.174987 1.590771
2025-11-16 0.175854 0.277190 0.417967 0.623538 0.910952 1.292695 1.831011
2025-11-23 0.143780 0.243403 0.389770 0.614319 0.942551 1.395949 2.058549
2025-11-30 0.123603 0.223384 0.377613 0.624877 1.000742 1.537934 2.347452
2025-12-07 0.103406 0.199534 0.355784 0.617307 1.030144 1.639665 2.585185
2025-12-14 0.089070 0.182773 0.342370 0.620247 1.074158 1.764111 2.862295
2025-12-21 0.075307 0.164438 0.323513 0.611483 1.097835 1.858182 3.098613
2025-12-28 0.068624 0.158052 0.324126 0.634765 1.174149 2.037164 3.473749
2026-01-04 0.062598 0.151842 0.324040 0.656333 1.248619 2.217060 3.859669
2026-01-11 0.054928 0.141074 0.314400 0.660338 1.294475 2.355533 4.191244
2026-01-18 0.047976 0.130540 0.303755 0.661192 1.334642 2.487002 4.519159
2026-01-25 0.041918 0.120821 0.293347 0.661155 1.372814 2.617049 4.851660
2026-02-01 0.036576 0.111696 0.282831 0.659537 1.407509 2.742695 5.183057
2026-02-08 0.032120 0.103824 0.273843 0.659816 1.445358 2.875527 5.533071
2026-02-15 0.027754 0.095198 0.261869 0.652371 1.467295 2.980705 5.839884
2026-02-22 0.025182 0.090956 0.259399 0.664826 1.529032 3.160985 6.287132
2026-03-01 0.021841 0.083686 0.248580 0.657620 1.550317 3.267440 6.607206
2026-03-08 0.019468 0.078780 0.242865 0.661185 1.593699 3.417219 7.012300
2026-03-15 0.016838 0.072363 0.232279 0.652192 1.609759 3.515434 7.326825
2026-03-22 0.015873 0.071314 0.235770 0.676963 1.699674 3.760781 7.925541